"Calm before the storm": Trump signals to North Korea, Iran

11 October, 2017, 00:31 | Author: Chad Mckenzie
  • Iran deal negotiators to brief House Democrats

Q: Why does the Trump administration say Iran is in violation?

Also Read: Will Trump Cancel the Iran Nuclear Deal?

Last week, a senior United States administration official said that President Trump is expected to announce that he will decertify the landmark deal, more properly called the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which was signed in 2015 between Tehran, the five Security Council powers and Germany.

For all of Trump's ignorance, he has grasped one essential truth the adults prefer to ignore: Letting Obama's deal remain in place without substantial changes to curb Iran's current misbehavior and to ensure that, contrary to its terms, Tehran won't be allowed to go nuclear in the near future is essential to U.S. security. The nuclear accord with Iran was implemented in January 2016.

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On Sunday, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said that his country would give a "response fitting" any stance adopted by Trump on the historic nuclear accord. U.S. officials insist this will not sink the deal itself but open the way for Congress to possibly develop new measures to punish other aspects of Iran's behaviour.

The US President is required to certify that Iran deserves waiver of sanctions every three months and the deadline this time is October 15.

The actual scientific, objective monitoring of the Iran deal is done by the United Nations International Atomic Energy Agency. "We see no evidence that Iran is not complying with it", she added.

That's why they insisted on an agreement that requires verification rather than trust, and they knew conditions always change with time and further negotiation would eventually be possible. This has led the IAEA to conclude that it can not assure the world that Iran is not even now designing and developing a nuclear arsenal with missiles capable of delivering them to American allies in the Mideast and Europe, and soon the US itself.

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During his speech at the UN General Assembly on September 19, the US president described the JCPOA as "the worst and most one-sided transaction Washington has ever entered into", a characterization he often used during his presidential campaign. "We have been at odds with the United States for about 40 years now and have managed to survive despite conflicts".

Tension between the USA and Iran is ratcheting up.

Iran began to develop its nuclear weapons programme seriously after former president George W Bush's wars brought U.S. troops to its neighbouring countries?Iraq and Afghanistan.

There have also been reports that Congress could impose new targeted sanctions against entities involved in the Iranian ballistic missile programme, destabilising activities in the region, and support for Iranian-backed terrorism. "This runs counter to the view of all the European countries that participated in the deal as well as the EU".

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Any day now, President Donald Trump is expected to take steps that have the potential to unravel one of the most important nuclear anti-proliferation deals of the century. However over time a united transatlantic front may be able to build consensus with Russian Federation and China to address long-term nuclear security issues with Iran, if not Iran's regional actions. Mattis said last week during testimony on Capitol Hill that he favors staying within the deal.



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