Democrat Good Rolls To An Upset Win In Sarasota Special Election

16 February, 2018, 06:13 | Author: Chad Mckenzie
  • Fire Rescue vehicles block the road to Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland Florida

And in a district where Republicans held a voter registration advantage of almost 13,000, the Democratic Party sees it as evidence it can win in Republican strongholds. After months of standing in negative territory, President Trump's approval rating has evened out, and the GOP has taken a slight lead in the generic ballot, according to the poll.

Eldon believes Good appealed to women across party lines as a "highly qualified female candidate" at a time when "you're having a national conversation on the treatment of women".

It's a growing, suburban district, much like the areas where other states have seen the biggest swings in Democrats' favor.

The poll also found that a plurality of voters - 42% - either did not know or had no opinion of the way the Trump administration handled the allegations against staff secretary Rob Porter.

Fully 39% of registered voters said they would support a GOP candidate for Congress in their district, while 38% would back a Democrat.

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But Good's success - in a district where Republicans hold a 10-point voter-registration edge, and Trump won by more than 4 percentage points - has injected more enthusiasm into a state party that has struggled to recruit candidates and has seen a GOP stranglehold on the governor's mansion, Cabinet and Legislature.

"It's awesome what low expectations can do", said Jose Felix Diaz, a former GOP state representative who in September lost to Democrat Annette Taddeo in a special election for a left-leaning Miami Senate seat.

Congressional Republicans also have a 9-point advantage on handling jobs, a 6-point lead on dealing with immigration and a 19-point lead on handling national security. The 72nd Florida House district sided with Trump by five points in 2016, but Good won it by seven.

U.S. Rep. Chris Smith, the longest-serving member of New Jersey's congressional delegation, has been considered unbeatable since constituents in the state's Fourth District (parts of Mercer, Monmouth and Ocean counties) first sent him to Washington in 1981.

Democrat Margaret Good won Tuesday's special election in House District 72 in a victory that will likely set off a round of Republican recriminations ... and angst. That's an eternity in politics. "People are fed up with what is happening up here".

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Historical trends are not on the side of the Republicans.

A seat that Democrats often wrote-off in previous elections suddenly turned competitive and the state party began picking up Good's campaign expenses.

"It says the Democrats are highly energized, but there's no way that you can get that margin unless Margaret Good takes a good chunk of the NPA voters." political analyst Frank Alcock says.

When the votes were tallied Good gave Florida Democrats their second major legislative victory in recent months. But the average numbers and history are still strong headwinds that team red must overcome. He is a conservative from deep blue MA but now lives in Greenville, SC.

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